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A weekly letter, a weekly set of charts. Everything we publish stays online, including the pieces we would write differently today.
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tmrw
One idea a week on growing and protecting wealth, written for people who already have it. Read by more than 23,000 subscribers.
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Four or five charts, plainly labeled, on what moved and whether it matters to a long-term plan. No commentary for its own sake.
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No. 149
M&A and IPOs lead the banks higher
The six largest U.S. banks have returned roughly twice the market since the start of 2025. The deal machine is why.
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No. 148
The AI Trade That Cost $45 Billion
The index finished July almost exactly where it started, yet two sides of the biggest trade of the year moved about fifty points apart.
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No. 147
–$5.9 Billion
Alphabet’s free cash flow went negative for the first time in its public history. Not because the business is shrinking, but because it’s spending.
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No. 146
The Cash Flow Handoff
The companies spending hundreds of billions on AI are watching their free cash flow disappear, but it’s moving somewhere very specific.
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No. 145
What the First Half Says About the Second Half
The S&P is up 9.6% through June. In the 53 years the first half finished green, the second half followed three times out of four, averaging a 6.2% gain.
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No. 144
All the Flows Went to One Sector
Since the March low, eleven sectors took in $19 billion. Technology took more than that by itself.
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No. 143
4,400 Millionaires
SpaceX began trading as the largest IPO in American history, with thousands of current and former employees projected to become millionaires.
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No. 142
What AI Actually Did to Software Jobs
Software development job postings bottomed in May 2025, then rebounded while overall U.S. postings continued to slide.
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No. 141
Net Data Creators
A three-year look at the market’s widening divide between companies that create proprietary data and companies that run on customer-uploaded data.
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No. 140
Earnings Are Accelerating
S&P 500 earnings just grew at the fastest rate of the cycle, with growth accelerating across the market.
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No. 139
The IPO Playbook
Our approach with new IPOs, and what the last 25 years of data say about the first two years.
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No. 138
The Month After a New All-Time High
New all-time highs tend to be followed by quieter months, but stronger twelve-month returns.
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No. 137
The Infrastructure Race
Four hyperscalers are planning to spend $682 billion on infrastructure this year. The last time they did something like this, they built the cloud.
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No. 136
Federal Debt Is at 122% of GDP
U.S. federal debt has reached 122% of GDP. Here’s what that has meant for the dollar, international stock outperformance, and the bigger picture.
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Educational content only. Nothing published here is personalized investment, legal or tax advice, a recommendation of any security, or an offer to buy or sell. Views are as of the date of publication and are not updated. Past performance does not guarantee future results.